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Yield estimate from the components

Enter the population, the number of pods or ears per plant, the grains per structure, and the thousand-grain mass to estimate the yield before harvest.

Pre-sizing and estimating tool: the results do not replace a design, calculation, or report signed by a qualified professional, nor verification against the applicable standards.

Preliminary estimateRevision 12/11/2026
Crop
Crop components
Area

Count the plants in 1 m² at three points in the area and the pods or ears of ten plants. For maize, use ears per plant and grains per ear. The thousand-grain weight comes from the lot's seed report.

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—Estimated yield
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Bags per hectare by pods or ears per plant

How much yield changes when the number of structures per plant varies from half to one and a half times; the dot marks your estimate.

Tap the chart to see the values.

What if the data changes?

Drag the controls to simulate data different from what you entered (from 30% less to 30% more) and watch the result change instantly.

Tap the chart to see the values.

Bags per hectare by population and pods or ears per plant

Estimate using the grains per structure and thousand-grain weight entered, for populations and numbers of pods or ears close to yours. The highlighted row is your population.

Step by step with your numbers

The calculation done in steps, with the values you entered.

    The calculation memo gathers this page's inputs, results, equations, assumptions, and references, with fields for project, responsible person, and review. The full report also includes the charts and interpretations, in color. In the print window, choose Save as PDF.

    How to use the yield estimate

    Choose the crop and fill in the four components: plant population, pods or ears per plant, grains per structure, and thousand-grain weight. When you choose the crop, the calculator fills in typical values that you should replace with your own field's figures. The result comes out in grains per square meter, kilograms per hectare, and 60 kg bags.

    Worked example

    Soybean with 300,000 plants/ha, 40 pods per plant, 2.4 seeds per pod and a thousand-grain weight of 150 g.

    Grains per hectare = 300,000 × 40 × 2.4 = 28.8 million. Mass = 28.8 million × 150 ÷ 1,000,000 = 4,320 kg/ha, or 72 bags.

    Where to measure each component

    ComponentHow to measure
    Plant populationcount the plants in 1 m² at three or four points and multiply by 10,000
    Pods or ears per plantcount ten representative plants, at several points
    Grains per structureopen a sample of pods or ears and count the grains
    Thousand-grain weightweigh 1,000 grains from the batch on a precision scale, at standardized moisture

    Common mistakes

    • Using a single counting point: a crop is almost never uniform.
    • Estimate before grain filling, when the components will still change.
    • Forgetting harvest losses, which usually reduce the final result.

    With the estimate in hand, see the cost per bag in the production cost per hectare and the planting population setting in planter setting.

    Method, assumptions, and references

    Equations used

    Grains per hectare = Population × Structures per plant × Grains per structure
    Mass (kg/ha) = Grains per hectare × Thousand-grain weight (g) ÷ 1,000,000
    60 kg bags/ha = kg/ha ÷ 60

    Assumptions and limits

    • The components are field averages, measured from representative samples.
    • Does not deduct harvest or post-harvest losses; use the harvest loss calculator for that.
    • Valid for soybean and corn; other crops have their own components.

    Standards and technical documents

    • Fancelli, A. L.; Dourado Neto, D. Corn production. Guaíba: Agropecuária, 2000.
    • Embrapa Soja. Soybean production technologies. Londrina: Embrapa Soja, annual editions.

    Frequently asked questions

    How to estimate yield before harvest?

    Count the plants per square metre, the pods or ears of some plants, the grains of each structure, and weigh a thousand grains from the lot. Multiplying these components and dividing by the bag unit gives the result in bags per hectare.

    How many pods per plant does soybean have?

    It depends a lot on the cultivar, the population, and the climate. Count ten representative plants at several points in the area, instead of using a single number.

    Does thousand-grain weight change from one crop to another?

    Yes. It drops with drought and heat during grain filling. So it is worth updating the value with sampling from your own crop before estimating production.

    Why can the estimate be wrong?

    The components multiply, so a 10% error in each one becomes a large error in the total. Sample more points and redo the calculation closer to harvest.

    How to count plants in 1 m²?

    Use a 1 m² quadrat, or two meters of row multiplied by the spacing. Count at three or four random points and take the average.